Deaths attributable to bacterial AMR · 2019
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deaths that would not have happened if infections were drug-susceptible
Deaths associated with bacterial AMR · 2019
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deaths where a drug-resistant infection played a role
Projected attributable deaths · per year by 2050
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GRAM forecast; ~39M cumulative deaths 2025–2050
Attributable death rate by region, per 100,000 (2019) — the burden falls hardest on low- and middle-income regions.
Six leading pathogens accounted for ~73% of attributable deaths (~929,000). Attributable deaths, 2019:
Source: GRAM — Murray et al., The Lancet 2022 (global bacterial AMR burden, 2019) and GBD 2021 AMR Collaborators, The Lancet 2024 (trends & 2050 projection). These are modeled estimates with wide uncertainty intervals; the central values are shown. "Attributable" and "associated" are two distinct counterfactual measures — both are reported because each answers a different question.